Precise definitions and sources for all dashboard statistics
| Source | API | Auth | Frequency | Data Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRED Primary | api.stlouisfed.org/fred |
API Key (free) | Daily/Monthly/Quarterly | Actual/Historical |
| ECB SDMX | data-api.ecb.europa.eu |
No | Monthly/Daily | Actual/Historical |
| Yahoo Finance | query1.finance.yahoo.com |
No | Real-time | Market Prices |
| CoinGecko | api.coingecko.com/api/v3 |
No | Real-time | Crypto Prices |
| IMF DataMapper Projections | imf.org/external/datamapper/api |
No | Annual | Forecasts to 2030 |
| World Bank | api.worldbank.org/v2 |
No | Annual | Historical (lagged) |
| Japan e-Stat | dashboard.e-stat.go.jp/api |
No | Monthly/Quarterly | Actual/Historical |
| Hacker News | hacker-news.firebaseio.com + hn.algolia.com |
No | Real-time | News Feed |
| DBnomics | api.db.nomics.world/v22 |
No | Monthly | ISM PMI (Leading Indicator) |
| HuggingFace | huggingface.co/api |
No | Daily | LLM Benchmarks |
| Vast.ai | console.vast.ai/api/v0 |
Optional | Real-time | GPU Spot Pricing |
Current economic indicators from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). Updated monthly/quarterly with actual reported values.
| Metric | Definition | Source | Series ID | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US GDP Growth | Real GDP percent change, seasonally adjusted annual rate | FRED | A191RL1Q225SBEA |
Quarterly |
| US Inflation (CPI) | Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, YoY change | FRED | CPIAUCSL |
Monthly |
| US Unemployment | Civilian Unemployment Rate, seasonally adjusted | FRED | UNRATE |
Monthly |
| US Real Rate | 10-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Security, Constant Maturity | FRED | REAINTRATREARAT10Y |
Daily |
| Fed Funds Rate | Effective Federal Funds Rate | FRED | FEDFUNDS |
Monthly |
| US Debt/GDP | Federal Debt: Total Public Debt as Percent of GDP | FRED | GFDEGDQ188S |
Quarterly |
Market risk indicators and forward-looking metrics. These are critical for understanding market sentiment and financial conditions.
| Metric | Definition | How to Interpret | Source | Code |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | CBOE Volatility Index - measures 30-day expected S&P 500 volatility | <15: Low fear (complacent) 15-20: Normal 20-30: Elevated fear >30: High stress |
FRED | VIXCLS |
| HY Credit Spread | ICE BofA High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread - spread over Treasuries for junk bonds | <300bp: Risk-on (tight) 300-500bp: Normal 500-800bp: Stressed >800bp: Crisis |
FRED | BAMLH0A0HYM2 |
| 2Y Treasury | 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate | Reflects Fed rate expectations over next 2 years. Rising = expected hikes, falling = expected cuts | FRED | DGS2 |
| 5Y Breakeven | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate (nominal minus real yield) | Market-implied 5-year inflation expectations. Target ~2%, >3% concerning | FRED | T5YIE |
| 10Y Breakeven | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate | Long-term inflation expectations. More stable than 5Y, anchored near 2% | FRED | T10YIE |
| ISM Manufacturing PMI | ISM Purchasing Managers' Index for Manufacturing | >50: Expansion <50: Contraction Leading indicator - signals economic direction 6-9 months ahead |
DBnomics | ISM/pmi/pm |
AI industry metrics including model benchmark performance and compute infrastructure costs.
| Metric | Definition | How to Interpret | Source | Code |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top LLM Score | Average benchmark score of the top-ranked open model on HuggingFace Open LLM Leaderboard | Tracks frontier capability of open-source LLMs. Higher = more capable models | HuggingFace | open-llm-leaderboard |
| H100 80GB Spot | Median spot price for NVIDIA H100 80GB GPUs on Vast.ai | Proxy for AI compute scarcity. Higher prices = more demand / less supply | Vast.ai | H100_80GB |
| A100 80GB Spot | Median spot price for NVIDIA A100 80GB GPUs on Vast.ai | Previous-gen flagship. Cheaper than H100 but still production-capable | Vast.ai | A100_80GB |
Long-term projections from the IMF World Economic Outlook. These are forecasts through 2030, not current values. Useful for comparing current data against projected trends.
| Metric | Definition | Source | Code |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth (2030f) | Projected real GDP growth rate for 2030 | IMF | NGDP_RPCH/USA |
| Inflation (2030f) | Projected consumer price inflation for 2030 | IMF | PCPIPCH/USA |
| Unemployment (2030f) | Projected unemployment rate for 2030 | IMF | LUR/USA |
| Debt/GDP (2030f) | Projected government debt to GDP ratio for 2030 | IMF | GGXWDG_NGDP/USA |
| Current Acct (2030f) | Projected current account balance as percent of GDP for 2030 | IMF | BCA_NGDPD/USA |
| Metric | Definition | Source | Code |
|---|---|---|---|
| EU HICP Inflation | Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices, annual rate | ECB | ICP/M.U2.N.000000.4.ANR |
| ECB Policy Rate | ECB Deposit Facility Rate (key policy rate) | ECB | FM/B.U2.EUR.4F.KR.DFR.LEV |
| EU GDP Growth | Euro area real GDP growth rate (IMF projection) | IMF | NGDP_RPCH/EUQ |
| Germany Unemployment | Unemployment rate, Germany (proxy for Eurozone) | IMF | LUR/DEU |
| Metric | Definition | Source | Code |
|---|---|---|---|
| China GDP Growth | Real GDP growth rate | IMF | NGDP_RPCH/CHN |
| China Inflation | Consumer price inflation, annual average | IMF | PCPIPCH/CHN |
| China Real Rate | Real interest rate (lending rate minus inflation) | World Bank | FR.INR.RINR/CHN |
| China Unemployment | Surveyed urban unemployment rate | IMF | LUR/CHN |
| China Current Account | Current account balance as percent of GDP | IMF | BCA_NGDPD/CHN |
| Metric | Definition | Source | Code |
|---|---|---|---|
| Japan GDP QoQ | Quarterly GDP growth rate, seasonally adjusted | e-Stat | 0705020401000060000 |
| Japan Inflation | Consumer price inflation, annual average | IMF | PCPIPCH/JPN |
| Japan Real Rate | Real interest rate | World Bank | FR.INR.RINR/JPN |
| Japan Unemployment | Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate | e-Stat | 0301010000020020010 |
| Japan Industrial Prod | Industrial Production Index | e-Stat | 0502070301000090010 |
| Metric | Definition | Source | Ticker |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | S&P 500 Index, major US equity benchmark | Yahoo | ^GSPC |
| Brent Crude | Brent crude oil futures price (USD per barrel) | Yahoo | BZ=F |
| Gold | Gold futures price (USD per troy ounce) | Yahoo | GC=F |
| US Dollar Index | Trade-weighted USD index (DXY) | Yahoo | DX-Y.NYB |
| Metric | Definition | Source | ID |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | Bitcoin price in USD | CoinGecko | bitcoin |
| Ethereum | Ethereum price in USD | CoinGecko | ethereum |
| Feed | Definition | Source | Query |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tech | Top 20 stories from HN homepage (algorithmic ranking) | HN Firebase | topstories |
| AI/ML | Top AI-related stories by popularity | HN Algolia | query="AI", min_score=50 |
| Startups | Top startup-related stories by popularity | HN Algolia | query="startup", min_score=30 |
Each metric displays a change value with a period label indicating the comparison timeframe:
| Label | Meaning | Comparison | Used For |
|---|---|---|---|
| DoD | Day-over-Day | Current value vs. previous trading day | Daily metrics: VIX, credit spreads, Treasury yields, market prices |
| MoM | Month-over-Month | Current value vs. same metric last month | Monthly metrics: CPI, unemployment, Fed Funds, PMI |
| QoQ | Quarter-over-Quarter | Current value vs. same metric last quarter | Quarterly metrics: GDP growth, Debt/GDP |
| YoY | Year-over-Year | Current value vs. same metric last year | Annual metrics: IMF projections, World Bank indicators |
Example: +0.15pp MoM means the metric increased by 0.15 percentage points compared to the previous month.
FRED: https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations?series_id={id}&api_key={key}
IMF: https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/api/v1/{indicator}/{country}
ECB: https://data-api.ecb.europa.eu/service/data/{dataflow}/{series_key}
World Bank: https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/{country}/indicator/{indicator}
e-Stat: https://dashboard.e-stat.go.jp/api/1.0/Json/getData?IndicatorCode={code}
Yahoo: https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/{ticker}
CoinGecko: https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/coins/{id}/market_chart
HN: https://hacker-news.firebaseio.com/v0/topstories.json
Algolia: https://hn.algolia.com/api/v1/search?query={query}
DBnomics: https://api.db.nomics.world/v22/series/{provider}/{dataset}/{series}
HuggingFace: https://huggingface.co/api/datasets/{dataset}
Vast.ai: https://console.vast.ai/api/v0/bundles/
To enable FRED data fetching:
export FRED_API_KEY=your_key_herepython -m src.main